Montana State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
393  Caroline Hardin FR 20:47
409  Rachel Sullivan JR 20:48
594  Keely West SR 21:04
775  Jenette Northey SO 21:18
983  Louisa Serpe FR 21:32
997  Rachel Atwood JR 21:33
1,017  Michelle Cline JR 21:34
1,429  Andrea Creel FR 22:00
National Rank #108 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #11 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.4%
Top 10 in Regional 76.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Caroline Hardin Rachel Sullivan Keely West Jenette Northey Louisa Serpe Rachel Atwood Michelle Cline Andrea Creel
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 1072 20:37 20:57 20:59 21:25 21:35 22:01 22:20
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 1097 20:57 20:47 21:06 21:22 21:27 21:31 21:47
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 1072 20:40 21:06 21:03 21:38 21:15 21:08 21:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 30.0 707 0.0
Region Championship 100% 9.3 282 0.1 0.5 1.8 5.1 10.0 16.9 25.1 17.0 10.3 5.9 3.7 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caroline Hardin 1.1% 162.5
Rachel Sullivan 0.8% 166.0
Keely West 0.0% 202.5
Jenette Northey 0.0% 201.5
Louisa Serpe 0.0% 242.5
Rachel Atwood 0.0% 234.5
Michelle Cline 0.0% 237.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caroline Hardin 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.8
Rachel Sullivan 39.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.8
Keely West 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
Jenette Northey 68.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Louisa Serpe 84.0
Rachel Atwood 85.0
Michelle Cline 85.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 33.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 3
4 0.5% 0.5 4
5 1.8% 1.8 5
6 5.1% 5.1 6
7 10.0% 10.0 7
8 16.9% 16.9 8
9 25.1% 25.1 9
10 17.0% 17.0 10
11 10.3% 10.3 11
12 5.9% 5.9 12
13 3.7% 3.7 13
14 1.8% 1.8 14
15 1.1% 1.1 15
16 0.5% 0.5 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0